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Oxbridge · Economics admissions

Economics interview questions:
5 types, fully worked

The five categories of question Cambridge and Oxford economics interviewers use, each with a real example and a complete worked solution. From conditional probability to game theory Nash equilibria to open-ended economic reasoning.

This guide works through Oxbridge Economics interview-style questions in microeconomics, game theory, maths reasoning and data interpretation, with links to interview and TMUA preparation.

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What the Cambridge Tripos actually demands

The Cambridge Economics Tripos Part I has five compulsory components: British Economic History, Political and Social Aspects of Economics, Mathematics and Statistics, Microeconomics, and Macroeconomics. The breadth is deliberate. Cambridge is looking for an all-rounder: someone with strong quantitative ability who can also construct a clear argument in prose and engage seriously with economic history and institutional questions.

This breadth is precisely what the interview tests. An interviewer might start with a supply-and-demand diagram, move to a philosophical question about economic methodology, then hand you a probability puzzle. The question categories below correspond directly to what you will face.

The six criteria interviewers are assessing

Understanding the evaluation criteria shapes how you should prepare. Cambridge economics interviewers are consistently looking for the following:

01

Strong technical knowledge, maths, statistics, probability

02

Good problem-solving skills and logical reasoning

03

Broad knowledge base in core economic principles

04

Interest in and knowledge of current and historical economic events

05

Clear, structured arguments using concrete examples

06

Easy to work with, picks things up quickly, adaptable, open-minded

Criterion six is the most underrated. Cambridge uses a supervision system where one or two students work through problems with a supervisor each week. The interview is a preview of that relationship. They want to know: can I teach this person? Will they update their view when I show them something new?

This is why interviewers deliberately challenge your answers, sometimes even when they are correct. They are not correcting you; they are watching how you respond to intellectual pressure.


Type 1: Open-ended economic reasoning

Open-ended question

The question

Real interview question

Should a good economic model be able to predict economic outcomes?

This is a deliberately broad question. There is no single right answer. What the interviewer is testing is whether you can give the question structure, acknowledge complexity, and reason through a position, not whether you can recall a fact.

What a weak answer looks like

A weak answer either dives immediately into one position without structure ("Yes, because economic models are supposed to tell us what will happen") or hedges on everything without taking a view ("It depends on the model and the situation"). Both responses show the same underlying problem: the candidate has not yet learned to decompose a broad question.

Worked solution: how to structure your answer

Step 1: Define terms. What do we mean by "good"? What counts as "prediction"? A model is a tool; whether it is "good" depends on the purpose it serves. Be explicit about this.

Step 2: Give structure. There are cases where predictive ability is the core virtue of a model, and cases where it is not. Organising your answer around this distinction is immediately more impressive than an unstructured response.

Structure your answer as

"Let me distinguish between cases where prediction is the primary purpose of a model, and cases where it is not..."

Case for prediction as a requirement: Policy analysis is the clearest case. If a central bank wants to know whether raising interest rates by 50 basis points will reduce inflation by 2 percentage points, the model's value lies entirely in its forecast. The same is true of fiscal multiplier estimates used by the Treasury. In these settings, a model that cannot generate predictions, even probabilistic ones, is not doing its job.

Case against: Consider stock prices. The Efficient Market Hypothesis implies that if a model reliably predicted future stock returns, arbitrageurs would trade against those predictions until they disappeared. Systematic predictability cannot persist in a competitive market. So a model of stock price dynamics that generates no predictive power is not a failure. It may be telling us something important about the market structure.

More broadly, consider the Lucas critique: when a government uses a model to set policy, rational agents change their behaviour in response to the policy. This can invalidate the model's predictions. The act of predicting can change the outcome being predicted. This is not a defect of the model. It reflects something real about how people respond to expectations.

There is also Goodhart's Law, best known in the anthropologist Marilyn Strathern's phrasing: "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure." Applied to modelling: using a model's prediction as a policy guide can break the relationship the model was built on.

The simplification argument: Milton Friedman argued in his 1953 essay that the realism of a model's assumptions is irrelevant, only its predictive accuracy matters. On this view, a model is "good" if and only if it predicts well. But there are competing views: some models are valued for their insight, clarity, or the questions they allow us to ask, even if their predictions are imprecise.

Conclusion you can defend: A good economic model should be able to generate testable predictions where the purpose of the model requires it. Policy models, demand forecasts, and macroeconomic projections should all be judged partly on predictive accuracy. But models used for conceptual clarity, teaching basic incentive structures, or identifying welfare properties need not generate tight empirical predictions to be valuable.

Interviewer follow-up to expect: "Can you give me an example of a model that is useful but doesn't predict well?" Perfect answer: the Diamond-Dybvig bank run model. It identifies conditions under which multiple equilibria exist and tells us something true about the fragility of banking systems, without generating a prediction of when a run will occur.


Type 2: Technical economics knowledge

Technical question

The question

Real interview question

Explain first-degree and third-degree price discrimination. What are the key differences?

Worked solution

First-degree (perfect) price discrimination occurs when a firm charges each consumer exactly their maximum willingness to pay, the reservation price. No consumer surplus survives: the firm extracts the entire surplus from every transaction.

First-degree PD: each consumer $i$ is charged their reservation price $p_i = \text{WTP}_i$. $$\text{CS} = 0 \qquad \text{DWL} = 0$$ Every transaction where $\text{WTP} \geq MC$ takes place. The outcome is efficient.

The efficiency result is striking: perfect price discrimination produces the same output as perfect competition, because the firm is now willing to sell to every consumer whose willingness to pay exceeds marginal cost. There is no deadweight loss. All the surplus has simply been redistributed from consumers to the firm.

The practical problem is information: the firm must know every individual's reservation price. This is largely infeasible. In practice, first-degree approximations emerge through negotiation (car dealerships), personalised algorithmic pricing (some airline and hotel platforms), or when consumer history provides rich data about individual valuations.

Third-degree price discrimination involves charging different prices to different groups of consumers, segmented by an observable characteristic: student status, age, geography, time of purchase.

The firm splits its customers into groups it can tell apart, treats each group as its own small market, and sets a higher price for the group that is less sensitive to price and a lower price for the group that is more sensitive. The intuition is simple: if a group keeps buying even when the price rises, you can charge them more; if a group walks away quickly, you keep their price low so you don't lose them.

Less price-sensitive group inelastic, steep demand D P₁ Higher price More price-sensitive group elastic, flat demand D P₂ Lower price

Same firm, two groups: the one less willing to walk away (P₁) is charged more than the price-sensitive one (P₂).

What "price elasticity" means here, in plain terms: elasticity is just how strongly demand reacts when the price changes. Demand is inelastic when people barely change what they buy as the price rises (a commuter who has to travel at peak time), and elastic when demand drops sharply (a leisure traveller who can change plans, or simply not go). The firm leans on this difference, charging the inelastic group more, and it only works if it can keep the groups apart and stop the cheaper group reselling to the dearer one.

Examples are everywhere: student discounts on software and streaming services (students have lower incomes and more price-sensitive demand); peak vs off-peak rail fares (business travellers have inelastic demand, leisure travellers have elastic demand); pharmaceutical companies charging different prices in different countries.

Key differences

1st degree3rd degree
Pricing unitIndividual consumerConsumer group
Consumer surplusZero (fully extracted)Partially extracted (from inelastic group)
EfficiencyEfficient (no DWL)May create DWL in elastic segment
Information requiredEach individual's WTPObservable group characteristic
Practical feasibilityRare; approximations existVery common

Second-degree price discrimination (not asked here but likely to come up as a follow-up): different prices for different quantities, exploiting consumers' self-sorting. Examples: bulk discounts, premium vs standard product tiers, first-class vs economy flights. Consumers reveal their type through the bundle they choose.


Type 3: Applied economics and game theory

Applied economics / game theory

The question

Real interview question, payoff matrix

Find the Nash Equilibria of the following game. What does it illustrate?

You are shown a payoff matrix known as the Battle of the Sexes:

Player B
Opera (O)Football (F)
Player AOpera (O)2, 10, 0
Football (F)0, 01, 2

Payoffs shown as (A, B). Highlighted cells are Nash Equilibria.

Worked solution: finding the Nash equilibria

A Nash equilibrium is just an outcome where neither player wishes they had chosen differently, given what the other did. Nobody can do better by changing their own mind alone, so the outcome is stable. The quick test: look at each cell and ask, for each player in turn, "given the other's choice, would I want to switch?" If the answer is no for both, that cell is a Nash equilibrium.

  1. (O, O): A gets 2; switching to F would give 0, so A stays. B gets 1; switching to F would give 0, so B stays. Neither wants to move, (O, O) is a Nash equilibrium.
  2. (O, F): A gets 0 but could get 1 by switching to F, so A moves. Not an equilibrium.
  3. (F, O): B gets 0 but could get 2 by switching to F, so B moves. Not an equilibrium.
  4. (F, F): A gets 1; switching to O would give 0, so A stays. B gets 2; switching to O would give 1, so B stays. (F, F) is a Nash equilibrium.

So there are two Nash equilibria: both go to the opera, or both go to the football. In each one the players have successfully coordinated, they end up together, but they disagree about which outcome they would prefer: A would rather it be (O, O); B would rather it be (F, F).

What it illustrates

This game (the "Battle of the Sexes") is the classic coordination problem. Both players would rather be together than apart, so both equilibria beat the mismatched outcomes, but they pull in different directions about which one to land on. Equilibrium analysis tells you which outcomes are stable; it does not tell you which one will actually happen. That gap is the interesting bit, and it is where strong candidates add insight: real coordination usually relies on something outside the payoff matrix, a convention, prior communication, a habit, or who commits first.

Real-world analogies an interviewer might welcome: competing technology standards (VHS vs Betamax), countries trying to agree a shared treaty or standard, or buyers and sellers converging on the same marketplace.

Follow-up questions you might get

"Can you explain, in your own words, what is going on in this game?"
Suggested answer: "Two people want to spend the evening together but like different things. Each cares more about being with the other than about the activity itself. If they pick the same place, both are reasonably happy; if they pick differently, both lose out. The tension is that there are two equally sensible 'together' outcomes, and each person prefers a different one."

"What do you think will actually happen in this game?"
Suggested answer: "The maths alone can't pick a winner, so I'd reason about what breaks the tie in practice, a focal point (perhaps one option is the obvious default, like the thing they did last time), talking beforehand, or whoever commits first, say by buying a ticket and telling the other. With none of that, there's a real chance they miscoordinate and both end up worse off, which is exactly why conventions and communication matter."

"How could they reliably coordinate in future?"
Suggested answer: focal points (Schelling), a simple shared rule or convention ("we alternate"), repeated play that lets a habit form, or a binding commitment. The key idea is that something beyond the one-shot payoffs is needed to select between the two equilibria.


Type 4: Mathematics and probability

Maths / statistics

The question

Real interview question, conditional probability

There are two coins in a jar. One has a probability of 1/4 of showing Heads; the other has a probability of 3/4 of showing Heads. We pick a coin at random and it comes up Heads. What is the probability that if we throw the same coin again, it will show Heads?

Why this question is asked

This is a Bayes' theorem question. It tests whether you can update beliefs correctly in the light of evidence, which is the foundation of rational inference and, in a broader sense, much of modern economics and statistics. Getting this right signals strong quantitative instincts.

The naive wrong answer is 1/2 (because there are two coins and you've "randomly" selected one). The error is ignoring the information the Heads outcome provides.

Worked solution

  1. Define events. Let A = coin with P(H) = 1/4 is selected; let B = coin with P(H) = 3/4 is selected. Initially P(A) = P(B) = 1/2.
  2. Find P(Heads on first throw) using the law of total probability.
    $$P(H_1) = P(H_1 \mid A)\,P(A) + P(H_1 \mid B)\,P(B) = \tfrac{1}{4}\cdot\tfrac{1}{2} + \tfrac{3}{4}\cdot\tfrac{1}{2} = \tfrac{1}{2}$$
  3. Apply Bayes' theorem to update the probability of each coin.
    $$P(A \mid H_1) = \frac{P(H_1 \mid A)\,P(A)}{P(H_1)} = \frac{1/8}{1/2} = \frac{1}{4}, \qquad P(B \mid H_1) = \frac{3}{4}$$

    Observing Heads is more likely if we picked coin B (the biased coin), so after observing Heads we think it is more likely we have coin B. We have updated our prior (50-50) to a posterior (1/4 for coin A, 3/4 for coin B).

  4. Find P(H₂ | H₁) using the updated probabilities.
    $$P(H_2 \mid H_1) = P(H\mid A)\cdot P(A\mid H_1) + P(H\mid B)\cdot P(B\mid H_1)$$$$= \frac{1}{4}\cdot\frac{1}{4} + \frac{3}{4}\cdot\frac{3}{4} = \frac{1}{16} + \frac{9}{16} = \frac{10}{16} = \boldsymbol{\dfrac{5}{8}}$$

The answer is 5/8. This is notably higher than 1/2 because observing Heads makes it more likely we are holding the coin that shows Heads more often, so the next throw is also more likely to be Heads.

General principle to state

The key insight is Bayesian updating: the first throw is not just a coin flip. It is evidence about which coin we are holding, and we should use that evidence to update our beliefs before predicting the second throw.

Interviewers value candidates who articulate the principle as well as the calculation. Saying "we need to update our beliefs about which coin we have before computing the probability of the next throw" signals that you understand what you are doing, not just that you have memorised a formula.


Type 5: Logic and problem solving

Problem solving

The question

Real interview question, investment strategy

An investor starts with ¥10,000. Each round, they invest ¥10,000 in a stock with a 50% chance of winning ¥10,000 and a 50% chance of losing ¥10,000. They keep playing until their money runs out. What is the probability they end up with at least ¥10,000 after three rounds of investment?

Worked solution

The key first step is to understand the state space carefully. The investor bets exactly ¥10,000 each round, regardless of how much they hold. If they ever reach ¥0 they cannot continue.

Map all possible paths through three rounds:

Start: ¥10,000 Round 1: Win (p = 1/2): ¥10,000 → ¥20,000 Loss (p = 1/2): ¥10,000 → ¥0 [BANKRUPT: game ends] Given win in Round 1 (now at ¥20,000): Round 2: Win (p = 1/2): ¥20,000 → ¥30,000 Loss (p = 1/2): ¥20,000 → ¥10,000 Given Win-Win (now at ¥30,000): Round 3: Win → ¥40,000 ✓ (path prob = 1/8) Loss → ¥20,000 ✓ (path prob = 1/8) Given Win-Loss (now at ¥10,000): Round 3: Win → ¥20,000 ✓ (path prob = 1/8) Loss → ¥0 ✗ (path prob = 1/8)

Collecting all possible outcomes with their probabilities:

PathProbabilityFinal wealthResult
Loss (R1)1/2¥0✗ Below target
Win, Win, Win1/8¥40,000✓ At or above
Win, Win, Loss1/8¥20,000✓ At or above
Win, Loss, Win1/8¥20,000✓ At or above
Win, Loss, Loss1/8¥0✗ Below target
Probability check: $\tfrac{1}{2} + \tfrac{1}{8} + \tfrac{1}{8} + \tfrac{1}{8} + \tfrac{1}{8} = 1$ ✓ $$P(\text{wealth} \geq \text{¥}10{,}000) = P(WWW) + P(WWL) + P(WLW) = \frac{1}{8}+\frac{1}{8}+\frac{1}{8} = \boldsymbol{\dfrac{3}{8}}$$

The probability of the investor ending up with at least their starting capital after three rounds is 3/8.

Economic interpretation

This is a stylised version of the gambler's ruin problem. Notice something striking: the expected value of playing is zero in each round (50% chance of winning ¥10,000, 50% chance of losing ¥10,000). Yet the investor has only a 3/8 chance of being made whole. The expected outcome is not a useful guide to the probability of any particular outcome.

The asymmetry comes from the absorbing barrier at ¥0: once bankrupt, the game ends. This is why the distribution of outcomes is skewed even when the single-round gamble is fair. The practical implication, relevant to financial economics, is that investors facing ruin risk should not evaluate strategies on expected value alone. Volatility and the possibility of early exit matter independently of the mean.

Likely follow-up: "What if the investor could bet any amount, not just ¥10,000?" This opens up optimal betting size strategies, including the Kelly criterion, which maximises the long-run expected growth rate of wealth. A good candidate answers that there is an interior optimal bet size, betting too little grows slowly, betting everything risks ruin.


Preparing effectively across all five types

Given the breadth of question types, generic "interview practice" is not enough. The most effective preparation is targeted by type:

For open-ended questions: practice structuring broad questions before answering them. Identify two or three dimensions of the question, state your structure out loud before developing any one of them, and make sure you state a conclusion you can defend, not just a list of considerations.

For technical economics: know your A-Level microeconomics thoroughly. Price discrimination, game theory, externalities, information asymmetry, and market structures are all in scope. For each topic, be able to define, give an example, compare and contrast, and discuss welfare implications.

For game theory questions: practise the Nash Equilibrium concept until finding pure NE is automatic. Know how to set up the mixed strategy NE calculation and what it means. Be ready to discuss coordination problems, prisoner's dilemmas, and repeated game logic.

For probability: Bayes' theorem is the most tested topic, so know it well and practise problems involving conditional probability, total probability, and Bayesian updating. Talk through your reasoning, interviewers care more about whether you understand what you are doing than whether you arrive at the answer without hesitation.

For problem solving: draw diagrams, decision trees, and tables. Work through cases systematically. Check your answer makes sense, in the investment example, verifying that probabilities sum to 1 is a simple sanity check that shows methodical thinking.

The most important preparation habit

Think out loud. This feels deeply unnatural at first. Most people are trained to work through a problem privately and present only the answer. In a Cambridge interview, the process is exactly the opposite. They want to hear you think. A candidate who says "let me organise this. I think there are two separate cases to consider..." and then reasons through them is far more impressive than one who produces a correct answer silently and then states it.

The supervisor system means interviewers spend every week listening to students reason through unfamiliar problems. They have a very well-calibrated sense of what genuine understanding sounds like versus a memorised answer. Thinking aloud is the most reliable signal of the former.

Oxbridge preparation

Mock interviews covering all five question types, with deliberate pressure and detailed written feedback, are available as part of Dr Grant's admissions preparation sessions. As a Cambridge economist (BA, MPhil, PhD Economics), the sessions closely replicate what you will encounter. Book the free initial consultation →


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